Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 0.9456 with a target of 0.8924 – 0.8768.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation above the level of 0.9456 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 0.9683 – 0.9904.
Analysis: A descending first wave of larger degree (1) of 5 is formed on the daily chart, and a correction has presumably developed as the second wave (2) of 5, with wave C of (2) formed inside. Supposedly, the third wave (3) of 5 started developing on the H4 chart, with the first counter-trend wave of smaller degree i of 1 of (3) forming as its part. Apparently, wave (iv) of i has finished developing on the H1 chart. If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to drop to 0.8924 – 0.8768. The level of 0.9456 is critical in this scenario. Its breakout will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 0.9683 – 0.9904.
Price chart of USDCHF in real time mode
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