Main scenario: consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1909.07 with a target of 2070.98 – 2150.00.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 1909.07 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1853.64 – 1779.58.
Analysis: the fifth wave of larger degree (5) continues developing on the daily chart, with wave 3 of (5) forming inside. Apparently, wave iii of 3 is forming on the H4 chart, with wave of smaller degree (iii) of iii formed as its part. On the H1 chart, a local correction has presumably finished developing as the fourth wave (iv) of iii, and the fifth wave (v) of iii has started forming. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to rise to the levels of 2070.98 – 2150.00. The level of 1909.07 is critical in this scenario as a breakout will enable the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1853.64 – 1779.58.
Price chart of XAUUSD in real time mode
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